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2018年9月,據中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)汽車協會統計信(xin)息(xi)網(wang),8月,汽車生產(chan)199.99萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)2.10%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)4.38%;銷售(shou)210.34萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)增長(chang)11.34%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)3.75%。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong),乘(cheng)用車生產(chan)170.52萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)1.16%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)4.71%;銷售(shou)178.99萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)增長(chang)12.60%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)4.55%。商(shang)用車生產(chan)29.47萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)7.17%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)2.43%;銷售(shou)31.35萬輛(liang),環(huan)(huan)比(bi)增長(chang)4.65%,同(tong)比(bi)增長(chang)1.11%。

中國8月份乘(cheng)用車銷量(liang)179萬輛,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)4.6%。7月,乘(cheng)用車共銷售(shou)158.95萬輛,環比(bi)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)15.19%,同(tong)比(bi)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)5.30%。這(zhe)是十年來(lai)中國乘(cheng)用車市(shi)場(chang)首(shou)次真正意義上出現(xian)負(fu)增長。

8月中國汽(qi)車產量、銷量同(tong)比均小幅下(xia)降

據中(zhong)國汽(qi)(qi)車(che)工業協會統計(ji)分析(xi),2018年8月,汽(qi)(qi)車(che)產量環比(bi)下(xia)降,銷(xiao)量呈(cheng)較(jiao)快增(zeng)長(chang),同比(bi)均(jun)呈(cheng)小幅下(xia)降。1-8月,汽(qi)(qi)車(che)產銷(xiao)繼續(xu)保持(chi)小幅增(zeng)長(chang),增(zeng)速比(bi)1-7月均(jun)呈(cheng)一(yi)定回落。

8月,汽車(che)(che)生產(chan)199.99萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降2.10%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降4.38%;銷(xiao)(xiao)售210.34萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增長(chang)11.34%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降3.75%。其中,乘用車(che)(che)生產(chan)170.52萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降1.16%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降4.71%;銷(xiao)(xiao)售178.99萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增長(chang)12.60%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降4.55%。商(shang)用車(che)(che)生產(chan)29.47萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降7.17%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)下降2.43%;銷(xiao)(xiao)售31.35萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang),環(huan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增長(chang)4.65%,同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增長(chang)1.11%。

1-8月,汽車產(chan)銷1813.47萬(wan)輛和1809.61萬(wan)輛,同比增(zeng)長(chang)2.77%和3.53%,與1-7月相(xiang)比,增(zeng)速分(fen)別回落(luo)0.75個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點(dian)和0.80個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點(dian)。其(qi)中乘用車產(chan)銷1531.88萬(wan)輛和1519.26萬(wan)輛,同比增(zeng)長(chang)1.92%和2.60%;商用車產(chan)銷281.58萬(wan)輛和290.35萬(wan)輛,同比增(zeng)長(chang)7.69%和8.71%。

8月車市(shi)負增長其實(shi)是在預期之內的,購置稅減免政(zheng)策完(wan)全退出,宏觀(guan)經濟下滑(hua),中美貿易摩擦,對(dui) 2018年(nian)的汽車消費都產生了負面影響,并且8月的基數相對(dui)較高。

汽車(che)銷量的慘淡(dan)不僅僅出現在中(zhong)國(guo),全(quan)球(qiu)主要市(shi)場幾(ji)乎(hu)全(quan)都如此。今(jin)年以來美歐日(ri)汽車(che)銷量均(jun)表現疲軟(ruan),部分(fen)知名車(che)企(qi)的明星車(che)型銷量出現斷崖式下跌。是美國(guo)、日(ri)本等(deng)主要汽車(che)市(shi)場銷量下滑,嚴(yan)重影響到全(quan)球(qiu)車(che)市(shi)增速。

中汽(qi)(qi)協解讀2018年8月汽(qi)(qi)車工業經濟運行情況

據(ju)中國汽(qi)車(che)(che)工業協會(hui)統計(ji)分析(xi),2018年8月(yue),汽(qi)車(che)(che)產量(liang)環比下(xia)降(jiang),銷量(liang)呈較快增長(chang),同比均呈小幅(fu)下(xia)降(jiang)。1-8月(yue),汽(qi)車(che)(che)產銷繼續保(bao)持小幅(fu)增長(chang),增速比1-7月(yue)均呈一定回落。具體(ti)分析(xi)如下(xia):

1.汽車情況

⑴. 汽車產銷比同期略有下降

8月,汽車(che)產銷(xiao)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年同期略有(you)下降,庫(ku)存狀況有(you)所改善。當月汽車(che)產銷(xiao)分別完(wan)成(cheng)200萬(wan)輛(liang)和(he)(he)210.3萬(wan)輛(liang),產量比(bi)上(shang)(shang)月下降2.1%,銷(xiao)量比(bi)上(shang)(shang)月增長11.3%;本月產銷(xiao)量比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年同期分別下降4.4%和(he)(he)3.8%,產銷(xiao)率105.2%,廠家庫(ku)存壓(ya)力減小。

1-8月,汽車(che)產銷分別(bie)完成(cheng)1813.5萬(wan)輛和1809.6萬(wan)輛,產銷量比上(shang)年同期分別(bie)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)2.8%和3.5%,比前7個月增(zeng)(zeng)速分別(bie)回落(luo)0.7和0.8個百分點(dian)。雖然銷量增(zeng)(zeng)速仍在回落(luo),但總體表現(xian)仍符(fu)合年初預(yu)期。

⑵. 乘用(yong)車(che)產銷量明顯低(di)于(yu)上年同期水平

8月,乘用(yong)車(che)產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分別(bie)完(wan)成170.5萬輛和179萬輛,產(chan)(chan)量(liang)比上月下降1.2%,銷(xiao)量(liang)比上月增長12.6%;與上年同期相比,產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)量(liang)分別(bie)下降4.7%和4.6%,已連續兩個月出現產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)同比下降的情況。

1-8月,乘用車產(chan)銷(xiao)分(fen)(fen)別完成1531.9萬(wan)輛和1519.3萬(wan)輛,產(chan)銷(xiao)量(liang)比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)分(fen)(fen)別增長1.9%和2.6%。乘用車四類車型(xing)產(chan)銷(xiao)情況看,轎車產(chan)銷(xiao)量(liang)比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)分(fen)(fen)別增長1.8%和3.7%;SUV產(chan)銷(xiao)比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)分(fen)(fen)別增長7.2%和6.2%;MPV產(chan)銷(xiao)比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)分(fen)(fen)別下(xia)降(jiang)16.7%和13.8%;交叉型(xing)乘用車產(chan)銷(xiao)比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)分(fen)(fen)別下(xia)降(jiang)16.9%和19.3%。

⑶. 商用車產銷保持平穩

8月(yue)(yue)(yue),商(shang)用(yong)車銷量(liang)繼續保持增長,但增速下(xia)(xia)滑。當月(yue)(yue)(yue)商(shang)用(yong)車產銷分(fen)別完成29.5萬輛和(he)(he)31.3萬輛,產量(liang)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)7.2%,銷量(liang)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)增長4.7%;產量(liang)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)2.4%,銷量(liang)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)增長1.1%,增速比(bi)上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)分(fen)別下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)15.6和(he)(he)11.7個(ge)百分(fen)點。

1-8月(yue),商用車產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分別(bie)完(wan)成(cheng)(cheng)281.6萬輛(liang)(liang)和290.3萬輛(liang)(liang),產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)量(liang)(liang)(liang)比(bi)上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)分別(bie)增(zeng)長(chang)7.7%和8.7%。分車型產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)情(qing)況看,客(ke)車產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分別(bie)完(wan)成(cheng)(cheng)30.2萬輛(liang)(liang)和29.8萬輛(liang)(liang),產(chan)(chan)量(liang)(liang)(liang)比(bi)上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)增(zeng)長(chang)1.1%,銷(xiao)量(liang)(liang)(liang)下(xia)降0.3%;貨車產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分別(bie)完(wan)成(cheng)(cheng)251.4萬輛(liang)(liang)和260.5萬輛(liang)(liang),產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)量(liang)(liang)(liang)比(bi)上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)分別(bie)增(zeng)長(chang)8.6%和9.8%,其(qi)中半(ban)掛(gua)牽(qian)引車產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)比(bi)上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)分別(bie)下(xia)降24.5%和22.1%。

⑷. 新能(neng)源汽車(che)同比高速增長(chang)

8月(yue),新(xin)能源汽車產銷分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)9.9萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang)和10.1萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang),比上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)39%和49.5%。其中純電動汽車產銷分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)7.2萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang)和7.3萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang),比上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)24.2%和31.7%;插電式混合動力汽車產銷分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)2.7萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang)和2.8萬(wan)(wan)輛(liang)(liang)(liang),比上(shang)(shang)年同期(qi)分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)102.3%和130.8%。

1-8月,新(xin)能(neng)源(yuan)汽車(che)產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)60.7萬(wan)輛和60.1萬(wan)輛,比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)(chang)75.4%和88%。其中純電動汽車(che)產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)45.5萬(wan)輛和44.7萬(wan)輛,比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)(chang)60.2%和71.6%;插電式混合動力汽車(che)產(chan)(chan)銷(xiao)分(fen)別(bie)完成(cheng)15.3萬(wan)輛和15.4萬(wan)輛,比上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期分(fen)別(bie)增長(chang)(chang)144.2%和159.7%。

⑸. 中國品(pin)牌乘用(yong)車市(shi)場份額下降

2018年(nian)(nian)8月,中國(guo)品牌(pai)乘用(yong)車共(gong)銷售68.4萬(wan)輛,同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)下降(jiang)(jiang)11.1%,占(zhan)乘用(yong)車銷售總量(liang)的(de)38.2%,比(bi)(bi)上(shang)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)(jiang)2.8個百(bai)分(fen)點(dian);其中:中國(guo)品牌(pai)轎車銷售16.8萬(wan)輛,同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)下降(jiang)(jiang)0.1%,占(zhan)轎車銷售總量(liang)的(de)18.6%,比(bi)(bi)上(shang)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)提升0.6個百(bai)分(fen)點(dian);中國(guo)品牌(pai)SUV銷售39.7萬(wan)輛,同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)下降(jiang)(jiang)14.0%,占(zhan)SUV銷售總量(liang)的(de)53.8%,比(bi)(bi)上(shang)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)(jiang)5.8個百(bai)分(fen)點(dian);中國(guo)品牌(pai)MPV銷售8.8萬(wan)輛,同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)下降(jiang)(jiang)19.9%,占(zhan)MPV銷售總量(liang)的(de)73.6%,比(bi)(bi)上(shang)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)(jiang)5.8個百(bai)分(fen)點(dian)。

1-8月,中國品(pin)牌乘(cheng)用車(che)(che)共銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)642.9萬輛(liang)(liang)(liang),同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)增長(chang)0.6%,占(zhan)(zhan)乘(cheng)用車(che)(che)銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)總(zong)量(liang)(liang)的42.3%,比(bi)上(shang)年同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)下(xia)降(jiang)0.8個(ge)(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點;其中:中國品(pin)牌轎車(che)(che)銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)152.2萬輛(liang)(liang)(liang),同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)增長(chang)10.3%,占(zhan)(zhan)轎車(che)(che)銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)總(zong)量(liang)(liang)的20.5%,比(bi)上(shang)年同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)提升1.2個(ge)(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點;中國品(pin)牌SUV銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)375.5萬輛(liang)(liang)(liang),同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)增長(chang)5.6%,占(zhan)(zhan)SUV銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)總(zong)量(liang)(liang)的59.0%,比(bi)上(shang)年同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)下(xia)降(jiang)0.3個(ge)(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點;中國品(pin)牌MPV銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)85.0萬輛(liang)(liang)(liang),同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)下(xia)降(jiang)21.2%,占(zhan)(zhan)MPV銷(xiao)(xiao)售(shou)總(zong)量(liang)(liang)的76.7%,比(bi)上(shang)年同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)下(xia)降(jiang)7.2個(ge)(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點。

⑹. 前(qian)十企業增(zeng)速高于行(xing)業

1-8月(yue),汽車銷(xiao)量(liang)排名前(qian)十位的(de)企業集團銷(xiao)量(liang)合計為(wei)1608.6萬(wan)輛,比(bi)上(shang)年同期增(zeng)長3.9%,高(gao)于行業增(zeng)速0.4個百(bai)(bai)分點。占(zhan)汽車銷(xiao)售總量(liang)的(de)88.9%,比(bi)上(shang)年同期提高(gao)0.3個百(bai)(bai)分點。

⑺. 汽車出口同比較快增長

8月(yue),汽(qi)車(che)(che)出(chu)(chu)口比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期呈(cheng)現(xian)較快增長(chang)(chang)(chang)。當月(yue),汽(qi)車(che)(che)企業(ye)出(chu)(chu)口8.9萬(wan)輛(liang),比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)下(xia)降4.9%,比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期增長(chang)(chang)(chang)21.2%,保持較快增長(chang)(chang)(chang)。分車(che)(che)型情況(kuang)看,當月(yue)乘用車(che)(che)出(chu)(chu)口6.6萬(wan)輛(liang),比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)下(xia)降5.1%,比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期增長(chang)(chang)(chang)24.6%;商用車(che)(che)出(chu)(chu)口2.4萬(wan)輛(liang),比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)下(xia)降4.2%,比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同期增長(chang)(chang)(chang)12.8%。

1-8月,汽車企(qi)業(ye)出口(kou)(kou)72.9萬輛(liang),比上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)增長(chang)35%。分車型看(kan),乘用(yong)車出口(kou)(kou)54.3萬輛(liang),比上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)增長(chang)45.4%;商用(yong)車出口(kou)(kou)18.6萬輛(liang),比上(shang)年(nian)同(tong)期(qi)增長(chang)13%。

(來源:中汽協)